Opposition Brief
Jay Obernolte
U.S. House (California-23) · Republican · California
Generated October 28, 2026 · All claims attributed to cited sources · Correlation reflects timing; causation is not asserted.
Executive Summary
- Top donor alignment: WINRED — 15% vote alignment ($165K given). Official Source
Top Attack Vectors — Donor Alignment
Ranked by vote-alignment score. Source: FEC filings (Tier 1 — official public record). Timing correlation only; platform does not assert causation.
- 1.
WINRED
$165K given · voted FOR 8/54 associated bills · 15% alignment
Jay Obernolte received $165,337.71 from WINRED → voted FOR 8/54 associated bills (15% alignment). Source: FEC filings (Tier 1 public record). Reflects timing correlation between donations and favorable votes; causation is not asserted.
- 2.
UNITED COMMUNITY BANK
$24K given · voted FOR 8/54 associated bills · 15% alignment
Jay Obernolte received $23,840.01 from UNITED COMMUNITY BANK → voted FOR 8/54 associated bills (15% alignment). Source: FEC filings (Tier 1 public record). Reflects timing correlation between donations and favorable votes; causation is not asserted.
- 3.
IN THE ARENA PAC
$12K given · voted FOR 38/291 associated bills · 13% alignment
Jay Obernolte received $12,000 from IN THE ARENA PAC → voted FOR 38/291 associated bills (13% alignment). Source: FEC filings (Tier 1 public record). Reflects timing correlation between donations and favorable votes; causation is not asserted.
- 4.
OBERNOLTE VICTORY FUND
$52K given · voted FOR 38/584 associated bills · 7% alignment
Jay Obernolte received $52,301.12 from OBERNOLTE VICTORY FUND → voted FOR 38/584 associated bills (7% alignment). Source: FEC filings (Tier 1 public record). Reflects timing correlation between donations and favorable votes; causation is not asserted.
- 5.
CALPORTLAND COMPANY PAC
$10K given · voted FOR 65/1429 associated bills · 5% alignment
Jay Obernolte received $10,000 from CALPORTLAND COMPANY PAC → voted FOR 65/1429 associated bills (5% alignment). Source: FEC filings (Tier 1 public record). Reflects timing correlation between donations and favorable votes; causation is not asserted.
